MLB Recap · July 6, 2023

Oakland Athletics at Detroit Tigers: Final Score & Recap

OAK0
Final
DET9

Line Score

Team123456789RHE
OAK000000000041
DET20221110-9131

The Story

The Detroit Tigers handed the Oakland Athletics a thorough 9-0 defeat at Comerica Park on July 6, 2023, a result that was never in serious doubt. The DiamondIQ model entered the game assigning Detroit a 70 percent win probability, and that figure climbed steadily to 100 percent by the final out, reflecting just how completely the Tigers controlled the contest. Detroit spread 13 hits across the game while Oakland managed only four, committing an error to compound a performance that produced no runs against a Tigers pitching staff that was sharp from the first inning onward.

The game's most consequential sequence came in the third inning, when Kerry Carpenter delivered a single off Oakland starter Hogan Harris that shifted win probability by plus 8.4 percent, the single largest swing of the night. Carpenter finished as the game's top offensive performer by WPA at plus 6.5 percent to go alongside a RE24 of plus 0.6. Javier Baez added a single off Harris in the first inning worth plus 3.8 percent in win probability and ended the night at plus 5.7 percent WPA and a game-high plus 3.1 RE24, reflecting the run-environment value he created throughout. Oakland's best moment came in the top of the third when Aledmys Diaz singled off Michael Lorenzen for a plus 4.1 percent swing, but Manny Pina immediately erased it by grounding into a double play, a sequence that cost Oakland 5.4 percent in win probability and effectively ended any realistic threat.

Michael Lorenzen was the dominant figure on the mound, finishing with a WPA of plus 9.3 percent, the highest mark of any player in the game and a clear indication of how thoroughly he neutralized Oakland's lineup. Brent Rooker grounded out in the first inning in a play worth plus 3.9 percent from Oakland's perspective but finished the game at plus 4.8 percent WPA overall, a figure that reflects Detroit's consistently strong sequencing rather than any meaningful Athletic contribution. Tyler Holton and Rico Garcia combined to finish the work without incident, leaving Detroit with a dominant wire-to-wire victory.

Analysis generated by DiamondIQ's model.

Win Probability

755025OAK bats firstFinalDET win %OAK win %
DiamondIQ model home win probability across the game (pre-game 70.4% → final 100%).

Biggest Plays by Win-Probability Added

Kerry Carpenter Single
Bot 3rd · off Hogan Harris
+8.4%
Manny Piña Grounded Into DP
Top 3rd · off Michael Lorenzen
-5.4%
Aledmys Díaz Single
Top 3rd · off Michael Lorenzen
+4.1%
Brent Rooker Groundout
Top 1st · off Michael Lorenzen
+3.9%
Javier Báez Single
Bot 1st · off Hogan Harris
+3.8%

Top Batters by WPA

Kerry Carpenter+6.5%+0.6 RE24
Javier Báez+5.7%+3.1 RE24
Brent Rooker+4.8%-0.1 RE24

Top Pitchers by WPA

Full box score, pitch data, and the play-by-play timeline
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