MLB Recap · July 5, 2023

Oakland Athletics at Detroit Tigers: Final Score & Recap

OAK12
Final
DET3

Line Score

Team123456789RHE
OAK30110403012140
DET000000021341

The Story

The Oakland Athletics routed the Detroit Tigers 12-3 at Comerica Park on July 5, 2023, handing Detroit a loss that saw the DiamondIQ model's estimate of a home win collapse from 70% before first pitch all the way to 0% by the final out. Oakland wasted little time seizing control, scoring three runs in the first inning and adding single runs in the third and fourth before a four-run sixth put the game well out of reach. Detroit managed just four hits and committed an error, while the Athletics finished with 14 hits and played clean defense throughout.

The pivotal moments of the game, measured by win-probability impact, fell largely in the early innings. Andy Ibáñez's groundout to open the bottom of the first shifted win probability 11.9 points against Detroit, and Jake Rogers's pop out in the second moved it another 12.7 points in Oakland's favor, both coming against Austin Pruitt. On Oakland's side, Shea Langeliers produced a groundout in the top of the first that added 10.6 points of win probability, and Tony Kemp followed with a similarly impactful groundout in the second worth 10.5 points — both off Eduardo Rodriguez, reflecting how Oakland's early-inning at-bats consistently applied pressure even when they did not result in hits. Aledmys Díaz added an 8.0-point swing with a double off Rodriguez in the third to keep Detroit pinned back further.

Pruitt was the standout performer by the DiamondIQ model's accounting, posting a WPA of plus-32.3% to lead all pitchers and anchor a dominant Oakland pitching effort. Ken Waldichuk contributed an additional plus-5.8% WPA, and Mason Englert chipped in plus-0.5%. Among position players, Langeliers led Oakland batters with a WPA of plus-16.2% and an RE24 of plus-1.1, while Kemp finished at plus-12.5% WPA and plus-0.9 RE24. Díaz rounded out the top three offensive contributors at plus-7.6% WPA, as Oakland's lineup proved thoroughly dominant against a Detroit club that the model had strongly favored heading into the afternoon.

Analysis generated by DiamondIQ's model.

Win Probability

755025OAK bats firstFinalDET win %OAK win %
DiamondIQ model home win probability across the game (pre-game 69.5% → final 0%).

Biggest Plays by Win-Probability Added

Jake Rogers Pop Out
Bot 2nd · off Austin Pruitt
-12.7%
Andy Ibáñez Groundout
Bot 1st · off Austin Pruitt
-11.9%
Shea Langeliers Groundout
Top 1st · off Eduardo Rodriguez
+10.6%
Tony Kemp Groundout
Top 2nd · off Eduardo Rodriguez
+10.5%
Aledmys Díaz Double
Top 3rd · off Eduardo Rodriguez
+8.0%

Top Batters by WPA

Shea Langeliers+16.2%+1.1 RE24
Tony Kemp+12.5%+0.9 RE24
Aledmys Díaz+7.6%+0.1 RE24

Top Pitchers by WPA

Full box score, pitch data, and the play-by-play timeline
Open Game Center →