MLB Recap · July 2, 2023

Chicago White Sox at Oakland Athletics: Final Score & Recap

CWS8
Final
OAK7

Line Score

Team123456789RHE
CWS0050021008120
OAK0020100227102

The Story

The Chicago White Sox defeated the Oakland Athletics 8-7 at Oakland Coliseum on July 2, 2023, holding off a late Oakland rally to secure a one-run road victory. The DiamondIQ model's estimate had Oakland with just a 36% win probability entering the game, and that figure ultimately fell to zero as Chicago withstood a two-run Athletics ninth inning.

The decisive sequence began in the top of the third, when the White Sox erupted for five runs against Paul Blackburn. Zach Remillard's single shifted Chicago's win probability by 10.7 percentage points, and Eloy Jiménez followed with a single of his own for an additional 9.1-point swing, two of the biggest individual plays in what became an outburst that effectively set the tone for the contest. Chicago added two more runs in the sixth, with Remillard's double off Richard Lovelady moving the needle another 8.3 points. Oakland clawed back with a two-run eighth and a two-run ninth, but the Athletics could not complete the comeback, leaving the bases with the tying run still in play.

Among individual performers, JJ Bleday led Oakland with a WPA of plus-22.6% and an RE24 of plus-2.5, highlighted by a third-inning double off Aaron Bummer that added 13.7 points to Oakland's win probability. Eloy Jiménez was the standout for Chicago, finishing at plus-14.7% WPA and plus-1.0 RE24. Jace Peterson registered plus-13.8% WPA despite an RE24 of minus-1.6, his ninth-inning lineout off Gregory Santos representing a 27.0-point swing that extinguished Oakland's final threat and sealed the win for the White Sox.

Analysis generated by DiamondIQ's model.

Win Probability

755025CWS bats firstFinalOAK win %CWS win %
DiamondIQ model home win probability across the game (pre-game 36.2% → final 0%).

Biggest Plays by Win-Probability Added

Jace Peterson Lineout
Bot 9th · off Gregory Santos
+27.0%
JJ Bleday Double
Bot 5th · off Aaron Bummer
+13.7%
Zach Remillard Single
Top 3rd · off Paul Blackburn
+10.7%
Eloy Jiménez Single
Top 3rd · off Paul Blackburn
+9.1%
Zach Remillard Double
Top 6th · off Richard Lovelady
+8.3%

Top Batters by WPA

JJ Bleday+22.6%+2.5 RE24
Eloy Jiménez+14.7%+1.0 RE24
Jace Peterson+13.8%-1.6 RE24

Top Pitchers by WPA

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