Chicago White Sox at Oakland Athletics: Final Score & Recap

The Oakland Athletics walked off the Chicago White Sox 7-6 in ten innings on July 1, 2023, at Oakland Coliseum, completing a comeback that the DiamondIQ model had estimated at just 37 percent likely before first pitch. Oakland trailed heading into the eighth inning but rallied to tie the game and ultimately won on an error in the tenth that swung win probability by 45.9 percent in the Athletics' favor. That play, a fielding error charged to Kendall Graveman, was the single largest win-probability moment of the game and pushed Oakland's DiamondIQ model estimate to 100 percent.

The critical sequence began in the bottom of the eighth, when Tony Kemp delivered a single off Joe Kelly that shifted win probability 32.5 percent toward Oakland, helping the Athletics claw back into the contest. The White Sox had taken a meaningful lead in the top of that same inning on a Carlos Pérez double off Lucas Erceg, a swing that added 27.4 percent in win probability for Chicago and represented the largest single play in their favor all night. Seth Brown had earlier kept Oakland within reach with an eighteenth-inning home run off Keynan Middleton worth 18.0 percent in win probability, while Jake Burger's strikeout against Trevor May in the top of the ninth cost the White Sox 21.7 percent and proved consequential heading into extras.

Among individual performers, JJ Bleday finished as the game's most impactful batter by a wide margin, posting a WPA of plus-56.1 percent and an RE24 of plus-1.8, driven largely by the walk-off sequence in the tenth. Carlos Pérez contributed plus-23.0 percent WPA and plus-1.3 RE24 in a losing effort, while Eloy Jiménez led all White Sox batters with plus-22.3 percent WPA and a game-high plus-2.4 RE24. On the mound, Trevor May was Oakland's most valuable arm at plus-13.5 percent WPA, with Gregory Santos adding plus-9.6 percent in support.