Miami Marlins at Atlanta Braves: Final Score & Recap

The Atlanta Braves wasted no time putting the Miami Marlins away on July 1, 2023, at Truist Park, scoring all six of their first-inning runs in a dominant 7-0 victory. The DiamondIQ model entered the game giving Atlanta a 64% win probability, and by the time the first inning concluded, that figure had climbed sharply toward certainty, finishing at 100% as the Braves never faced a meaningful threat across nine innings.

The decisive sequence came in the bottom of the first against Marlins starter Eury Pérez, with Ronald Acuña Jr. delivering a home run that added 2.3% to Atlanta's win probability. The game's single most impactful defensive moment came in the top of the second, when Joey Wendle lined out against Charlie Morton, a play that swung win probability 7.9% in Atlanta's favor by snuffing out any chance at a Marlins rally. Matt Olson's groundout in the bottom of the second contributed another 7.4% swing, and Jazz Chisholm Jr.'s strikeout to open the game added 2.3% as Morton set the tone immediately.

Acuña Jr. led all position players with a WPA of plus-9.3% and a RE24 of plus-0.3, while Olson finished close behind at plus-8.4% WPA and plus-0.6 RE24. The model's most valuable performer on the night, however, was Charlie Morton, whose plus-11.6% WPA contribution stood as the game's single highest figure at any position, anchoring a shutdown effort that held Miami scoreless through seven innings and kept Atlanta's dominant first-inning lead fully intact.