Tampa Bay Rays at Arizona Diamondbacks: Final Score & Recap
Line Score
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TB | 1 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 9 | 0 |
| AZ | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 0 |
The Story
The Tampa Bay Rays handed the Arizona Diamondbacks a 6-1 defeat at Chase Field on June 29, 2023, with the DiamondIQ model's estimate of an Arizona win falling from 45% before first pitch to 0% by game's end. The game remained relatively close through two innings before Tampa Bay broke it open decisively in the third, scoring five runs to push their total to six on the night. Arizona's lone run came in the bottom of the seventh, by which point the outcome was no longer in doubt.
The pivotal sequence came in the top of the third inning against Brandon Pfaadt, with Wander Franco delivering a triple that shifted win probability by 16.1 percentage points in Tampa Bay's favor, the single largest swing of the game. Vidal Bruján followed with a double that added another 5.9 percentage points, extending what became an insurmountable advantage. Arizona's best opportunity had come an inning earlier in the bottom of the second, when Christian Walker doubled off Zack Littell to move the needle 4.7 points toward the home side, but strikeouts and flyouts from Evan Longoria and Pavin Smith erased that momentum, swinging a combined 8.9 percentage points back toward Tampa Bay.
Franco finished as the game's top performer by the DiamondIQ model's estimate, accumulating a WPA of plus-15.8 with an RE24 of plus-1.3. Walker was Arizona's lone bright spot offensively, posting a WPA of plus-6.1. On the mound, Zack Littell led all pitchers with a WPA of plus-7.7 despite the Walker double, while Yonny Chirinos contributed plus-6.1 in support of Tampa Bay's dominant pitching effort.