MLB Recap · June 28, 2023

Chicago White Sox at Los Angeles Angels: Final Score & Recap

CWS11
Final
LAA5

Line Score

Team123456789RHE
CWS21231000211170
LAA2000002105110

The Story

The Chicago White Sox handed the Los Angeles Angels an 11-5 defeat at Angel Stadium on June 28, 2023, overcoming a pre-game DiamondIQ model estimate that placed the Angels as 65% favorites to win at home. Chicago built its advantage incrementally, scoring in five of nine innings and finishing with 17 hits against an error-free performance in the field. Los Angeles, meanwhile, was unable to sustain any rally, and the DiamondIQ model's estimate of an Angels win fell to 0% by the final out.

The decisive damage came early and often against Angels starter Jaime Barria. In the first inning, a Jake Burger forceout shifted win probability 7.2 points in Chicago's favor, and the White Sox continued to pile on through the third, where Zach Remillard delivered a double worth 8.4 percentage points before Eloy Jiménez capped the frame with a home run off Barria that added another 9.8 points to Chicago's probability advantage. The fourth inning brought further separation when Andrew Vaughn doubled off reliever Andrew Wantz for a 9.6-point swing. A David Fletcher groundout off Lucas Giolito in the bottom of the second, moving the needle 7.0 points back toward Los Angeles, was among the few moments the Angels threatened to claw into the game, but it amounted to nothing sustained.

Among the standout performers, Giolito led all pitchers with a WPA of plus-17.8, keeping the Angels offense in check across his time on the mound. Offensively, Vaughn topped all batters with a WPA of plus-14.7 and a RE24 of plus-2.3, while Luis Robert Jr. contributed plus-7.5 WPA and plus-2.1 RE24, and Remillard added plus-7.4 WPA with a RE24 of plus-1.5. The DiamondIQ model leans toward recognizing the White Sox's multi-inning construction of the lead as the defining factor in erasing what had been a substantial pre-game edge for the home side.

Analysis generated by DiamondIQ's model.

Win Probability

755025CWS bats firstFinalLAA win %CWS win %
DiamondIQ model home win probability across the game (pre-game 64.6% → final 0%).

Biggest Plays by Win-Probability Added

Eloy Jiménez Home Run
Top 3rd · off Jaime Barria
+9.8%
Andrew Vaughn Double
Top 4th · off Andrew Wantz
+9.6%
Zach Remillard Double
Top 3rd · off Jaime Barria
+8.4%
Jake Burger Forceout
Top 1st · off Jaime Barria
+7.2%
David Fletcher Groundout
Bot 2nd · off Lucas Giolito
-7.0%

Top Batters by WPA

Andrew Vaughn+14.7%+2.3 RE24
Luis Robert Jr.+7.5%+2.1 RE24
Zach Remillard+7.4%+1.5 RE24

Top Pitchers by WPA

Full box score, pitch data, and the play-by-play timeline
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