Minnesota Twins at Atlanta Braves: Final Score & Recap
Line Score
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MIN | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 |
| ATL | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - | 3 | 6 | 0 |
The Story
The Atlanta Braves defeated the Minnesota Twins 3-0 on June 28, 2023, at Truist Park, with the DiamondIQ model's estimate entering the game at a 71% home win probability and closing at 100% as Atlanta's pitching staff methodically shut down Minnesota's lineup across nine innings.
The Twins had their best opportunity to change the complexion of the game in the fourth inning, when Byron Buxton delivered a double off Kolby Allard that added 6.6% to Minnesota's win probability. However, Kyle Farmer's fielder's choice out later in the same frame erased 7.6%, keeping the Braves ahead. Atlanta extended its lead with a run in the third and another in the eighth, the latter coming on a Matt Olson home run off Jordan Balazovic that added 6.4% to Atlanta's win probability. The most decisive single moment for Minnesota came in the seventh, when Christian Vázquez grounded into a double play against A.J. Minter, swinging win probability 9.5% against the Twins and effectively closing the door on any late rally.
Ronald Acuña Jr. led all position players with a WPA of plus-8.4% and a RE24 of plus-1.4, while Olson contributed plus-6.5% WPA and a team-high plus-1.6 RE24. Willi Castro added plus-4.9% WPA to round out Atlanta's offensive contributors. On the mound, Kirby Yates was the top-rated pitcher at plus-11.7% WPA, followed by Kenta Maeda at plus-8.5% and Allard at plus-8.4%, as the three combined to stifle a Twins offense that managed just four hits with no errors on the night.