MLB Recap · June 27, 2023

Los Angeles Dodgers at Colorado Rockies: Final Score & Recap

LAD5
Final
COL0

Line Score

Team123456789RHE
LAD022001000580
COL000000000031

The Story

The Los Angeles Dodgers shut out the Colorado Rockies 5-0 at Coors Field on June 27, 2023, holding Colorado scoreless across nine innings while the DiamondIQ model's estimate of a home win fell from 36% before the first pitch to 0% by the final out. Los Angeles scored all five of its runs in the second, third, and sixth innings, collecting eight hits against a Rockies staff that allowed no shortage of damage.

J.D. Martinez was the decisive force at the plate, accounting for a combined +18.3% in win probability added to lead all batters. His third-inning home run off Connor Seabold carried the single largest win-probability swing of the night at +15.9%, effectively turning a close contest into a comfortable Dodgers lead. He added a second home run in the sixth against Brad Hand for another +4.1% shift. David Peralta contributed as well, ripping a double off Seabold in the second inning that moved the needle +4.0%. On Colorado's side, C.J. Cron's fifth-inning groundout into a double play off Clayton Kershaw represented the sharpest negative swing for the Rockies at -7.3%, snuffing out what had been a modest scoring opportunity.

Clayton Kershaw anchored the pitching performance with a game-high +17.7% win probability added among pitchers, systematically keeping Colorado's three-hit offense off the board. Brusdar Graterol and Evan Phillips followed with contributions of +1.7% and +1.4% respectively as the Dodgers completed the shutout without a fielding error. The DiamondIQ model favored Los Angeles coming in, and the game played out in precise alignment with that lean from the second inning onward.

Analysis generated by DiamondIQ's model.

Win Probability

755025LAD bats firstFinalCOL win %LAD win %
DiamondIQ model home win probability across the game (pre-game 36% → final 0%).

Biggest Plays by Win-Probability Added

J.D. Martinez Home Run
Top 3rd · off Connor Seabold
+15.9%
C.J. Cron Grounded Into DP
Bot 5th · off Clayton Kershaw
-7.3%
Will Smith Flyout
Top 1st · off Connor Seabold
-4.7%
J.D. Martinez Home Run
Top 6th · off Brad Hand
+4.1%
David Peralta Double
Top 2nd · off Connor Seabold
+4.0%

Top Batters by WPA

J.D. Martinez+18.3%+2.4 RE24
Ryan McMahon+5.6%+0.6 RE24
David Peralta+3.3%+0.4 RE24

Top Pitchers by WPA

Full box score, pitch data, and the play-by-play timeline
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