MLB Recap · June 22, 2023

Boston Red Sox at Minnesota Twins: Final Score & Recap

BOS0
Final
MIN6

Line Score

Team123456789RHE
BOS000000000030
MIN22101000-6100

The Story

The Minnesota Twins handled the Boston Red Sox with ease on June 22, 2023, at Target Field, winning 6-0 behind a dominant pitching performance and early offensive production. The DiamondIQ model opened with a 53% home win probability for Minnesota, a figure that climbed steadily before reaching 100% by the final out. Boston managed just three hits and committed no errors, but the Red Sox offense never found any traction against Twins pitching, with Joe Ryan leading the way to a plus-17.7% WPA on the mound — by far the most impactful individual contribution of the game.

The second inning proved decisive, as Minnesota built its lead with a series of damaging plays against Boston starter Brandon Walter. Kyle Farmer's double play in the bottom of the second added 6.8% win probability for the Twins, and Michael A. Taylor followed with a double that swung things another 5.3% in Minnesota's favor. Byron Buxton then added a home run in the third inning off Walter, a blow worth 4.3% in win probability that pushed the Red Sox further into a hole they could not escape. On the other side, Triston Casas grounded out in the top of the second against Joe Ryan, a swing of negative 5.8% that reflected how thoroughly Boston's best scoring chances were extinguished.

Among the top individual performers by WPA, Farmer finished at plus-7.1%, Buxton at plus-6.6% with a team-best plus-1.6 RE24, and Royce Lewis contributed plus-5.8% despite a groundout in the first inning that went in Minnesota's favor. Justin Garza was the low point for Boston's pitching staff, finishing at minus-9.6% WPA. The final line told a clean story: six runs on ten hits for Minnesota against zero runs on three hits for Boston, a straightforward outcome that the DiamondIQ model's numbers reflected from the opening pitch forward.

Analysis generated by DiamondIQ's model.

Win Probability

755025BOS bats firstFinalMIN win %BOS win %
DiamondIQ model home win probability across the game (pre-game 52.7% → final 100%).

Biggest Plays by Win-Probability Added

Kyle Farmer Double Play
Bot 2nd · off Brandon Walter
+6.8%
Triston Casas Groundout
Top 2nd · off Joe Ryan
-5.8%
Bot 2nd · off Brandon Walter
+5.3%
Byron Buxton Home Run
Bot 3rd · off Brandon Walter
+4.3%
Royce Lewis Groundout
Bot 1st · off Justin Garza
+3.7%

Top Batters by WPA

Kyle Farmer+7.1%-0.4 RE24
Byron Buxton+6.6%+1.6 RE24
Royce Lewis+5.8%+0.7 RE24

Top Pitchers by WPA

Full box score, pitch data, and the play-by-play timeline
Open Game Center →