Oakland Athletics at Cleveland Guardians: Final Score & Recap

The Cleveland Guardians defeated the Oakland Athletics 6-1 at Progressive Field on June 22, 2023, in a game that was never particularly close after the fifth inning. The DiamondIQ model entered the contest already favoring Cleveland at 77 percent and watched that probability climb steadily to 100 percent by the final out. Oakland managed only three hits and never mounted a sustained threat against a Guardians pitching staff that kept the Athletics lineup largely in check throughout.

The decisive stretch came in the bottom of the fifth, when Cleveland strung together the game's two most impactful plays in quick succession against Athletics starter JP Sears. Myles Straw led off with a triple that shifted win probability 13.5 percent in Cleveland's favor, and Josh Bell immediately followed with a home run worth an additional 13.4 percent swing, putting the Guardians ahead and effectively closing out the competitive portion of the game. Cleveland added four more runs in the bottom of the eighth, with Straw delivering again via a single off Yacksel Ríos for an 8.0 percent win-probability addition. On the Oakland side, the offense was repeatedly stifled at key moments, most notably when Shea Langeliers struck out against Logan Allen in the fourth for an 8.6 percent negative swing, and when Tony Kemp grounded into a double play off Enyel De Los Santos in the seventh for a 9.2 percent negative swing.

Straw finished as the game's top performer by the DiamondIQ model's estimate, accumulating a combined WPA of plus 19.9 percent alongside a RE24 of plus 1.4, while Bell contributed plus 10.2 percent WPA. On the pitching side, JP Sears and Enyel De Los Santos led their respective staffs by WPA, with De Los Santos posting plus 19.3 percent despite pitching in relief, and Logan Allen adding plus 2.3 percent for Cleveland.