Kansas City Royals at Detroit Tigers: Final Score & Recap
Line Score
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KC | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 1 |
| DET | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | 9 | 11 | 0 |
The Story
The Detroit Tigers handled the Kansas City Royals 9-4 at Comerica Park on June 21, 2023, a result the DiamondIQ model largely anticipated, setting the Tigers' pre-game home win probability at 71% before watching it climb to 100% by game's end. Detroit seized control early, scoring three runs in the second inning and never relinquishing the lead, while Kansas City managed just four runs across a game that saw both clubs finish with 11 hits.
The decisive stretch came in the bottom of the second, where the Tigers' half-inning did the most damage against Brady Singer. Eric Haase's double was the single biggest swing of the night, adding 11.4% to Detroit's win probability, and Zack Short followed with a single worth another 8.6%. Short continued to torment Singer in the fifth, connecting on a home run that added 8.1% to Detroit's probability, and a Javier Báez single in the third added another 7.8%. On the Kansas City side, Nick Pratto's strikeout in the top of the second — limiting the Royals' early threat — actually registered as a positive 8.6% swing for Detroit's win probability from the batting-team perspective, a sign of how thoroughly Singer struggled to generate offense in that critical frame.
Zack Short was the game's standout performer by the DiamondIQ model's metrics, finishing with a cumulative WPA of plus 16.9% and a RE24 of plus 2.9, driving the Tigers' offense with his multi-hit, multi-RBI contribution. Eric Haase complemented him at plus 10.0% WPA and plus 1.9 RE24, while Will Vest led the pitching staff with a WPA of plus 5.0%, helping Detroit close out a wire-to-wire win.