Seattle Mariners at New York Yankees: Final Score & Recap
Line Score
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SEA | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 |
| NYY | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 3 | 8 | 0 |
The Story
The New York Yankees defeated the Seattle Mariners 3-1 at Yankee Stadium on June 20, 2023, a result the DiamondIQ model's estimate supported from the outset, with pre-game home win probability set at 59% before climbing to 100% by game's end. New York struck early and held firm, building a two-run cushion through the first two innings that Seattle could never fully erase.
The decisive sequence came in the bottom of the second inning, when Billy McKinney delivered a home run off George Kirby that shifted win probability by plus 10.1 percentage points, representing the single largest swing of the night. Seattle's best counterpunch arrived in the top of the sixth, when Jarred Kelenic doubled off Gerrit Cole for a plus 9.7 percentage point swing, pulling the Mariners within striking distance at 2-1. However, Josh Donaldson's groundout into a double play in the bottom half of the sixth erased any momentum Seattle had generated, costing them 4.5 percentage points of win probability and effectively ending the competitive portion of the contest.
Gerrit Cole was the clear standout performer of the evening, accumulating plus 24.8 percentage points of win probability across his outing to lead all pitchers. On the offensive side, McKinney finished with plus 8.3 WPA and a RE24 of plus 1.2, while Kelenic matched him closely at plus 8.2 WPA and plus 1.1 RE24 despite pitching for the losing side. Anthony Rizzo contributed plus 7.7 WPA and led all batters with a RE24 of plus 1.6, reinforcing New York's hold on a game that was largely theirs from the second inning forward.