MLB Recap · June 20, 2023

Los Angeles Dodgers at Los Angeles Angels: Final Score & Recap

LAD2
Final
LAA0

Line Score

Team123456789RHE
LAD000000020260
LAA000000000050

The Story

The Los Angeles Dodgers shut out the Los Angeles Angels 2-0 on June 20, 2023, at Angel Stadium, with both runs scoring in the top of the eighth inning to snap what had been a scoreless duel through seven frames. The DiamondIQ model's estimate opened with the Angels holding a 54% win probability at first pitch, but that figure fell to 0% by the final out, reflecting just how decisively the Dodgers seized control in that lone productive half-inning.

The decisive sequence came in the top of the eighth against Angels reliever Chris Devenski, when Michael Busch and Will Smith each delivered singles that together swung the game's momentum dramatically. Busch's hit added 15.4% to the Dodgers' win probability, and Smith's followed with an identical 15.4% swing, providing the two runs that would prove to be all Los Angeles needed. On the other side of the ledger, the Angels generated their most significant threat in the bottom of the seventh, when Hunter Renfroe's double off Clayton Kershaw added 13.0% to the Angels' win probability. However, Andrew Velazquez's forceout on the same Kershaw at-bat swung 11.6% back in the Dodgers' favor, and the threat evaporated without a run scoring.

The standout performers by the DiamondIQ model's numbers were Clayton Kershaw, who led all pitchers with a remarkable plus-39.2% WPA contribution, and Reid Detmers, who posted plus-35.7% WPA in a losing effort despite keeping the Dodgers off the board deep into the game. Among position players, Will Smith finished as the top performer with plus-17.0% WPA and a plus-0.9 RE24 mark, while Busch contributed plus-10.5% WPA. Mickey Moniak's pop out to end the ninth inning, recorded as a plus-14.4% WPA event from the Dodgers' perspective, closed out the shutout and left the Angels with a final line of five hits, no runs, and no errors.

Analysis generated by DiamondIQ's model.

Win Probability

755025LAD bats firstFinalLAA win %LAD win %
DiamondIQ model home win probability across the game (pre-game 53.9% → final 0%).

Biggest Plays by Win-Probability Added

Michael Busch Single
Top 8th · off Chris Devenski
+15.4%
Will Smith Single
Top 8th · off Chris Devenski
+15.4%
Mickey Moniak Pop Out
Bot 9th · off Evan Phillips
+14.4%
Hunter Renfroe Double
Bot 7th · off Clayton Kershaw
+13.0%
Andrew Velazquez Forceout
Bot 7th · off Clayton Kershaw
-11.6%

Top Batters by WPA

Will Smith+17.0%+0.9 RE24
Mickey Moniak+14.4%-0.1 RE24
Michael Busch+10.5%+0.5 RE24

Top Pitchers by WPA

Full box score, pitch data, and the play-by-play timeline
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