New York Yankees at Boston Red Sox: Final Score & Recap

The Boston Red Sox handed the New York Yankees a 6-2 defeat at Fenway Park on June 17, 2023, in a game that was effectively decided across the fifth and sixth innings. The DiamondIQ model opened with an even 50 percent home win probability, but by the final out that figure had climbed to 100 percent as Boston's offense systematically dismantled a Yankees pitching staff that could not contain the middle of the Red Sox lineup.

The decisive sequence began in the bottom of the fifth, when Adam Duvall's single off Clarke Schmidt swung win probability 11.4 percent in Boston's favor, and Justin Turner followed with a double off Schmidt that added another 10.8 percent. That two-run frame gave the Red Sox a 2-2 tie, but the sixth inning proved even more damaging for New York. Michael King replaced Schmidt and fared no better, surrendering an Alex Verdugo double worth 10.1 percent in win probability, a Justin Turner single worth 9.6 percent, and a Connor Wong double that represented the single largest swing of the game at plus-16.1 percent. Boston scored three times in the inning to go ahead 5-2 and effectively put the contest away.

Turner and Verdugo were the standout performers by the DiamondIQ model's metrics. Verdugo finished with a WPA of plus-19.9 percent and an RE24 of plus-1.2, while Turner matched that RE24 figure with a WPA of plus-15.3 percent across his multi-hit evening. On the mound, Nick Pivetta was the clear anchor for Boston, posting a WPA of plus-22.3 percent, the best mark of any pitcher in the game. Clarke Schmidt finished at plus-3.8 percent despite yielding the tying and go-ahead runs, while the Yankees' offense managed only four hits and could not sustain the two-run first inning that briefly gave New York its only lead of the night.