San Francisco Giants at Los Angeles Dodgers: Final Score & Recap
Line Score
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SF | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 8 | 2 |
| LAD | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 1 |
The Story
The San Francisco Giants handed the Los Angeles Dodgers a 7-3 defeat at Dodger Stadium on June 18, 2023, erasing the DiamondIQ model's pre-game estimate of a 53 percent home win probability and closing it to zero. The Giants built their lead incrementally, scoring two runs in the fourth, one in the fifth, and four more in the sixth to put the game beyond reach, while the Dodgers managed single runs in the fourth, fifth, and ninth innings but never strung together enough offense to threaten seriously.
The pivotal sequence of the contest unfolded across the fourth and fifth innings, where the game's largest win-probability swings occurred on both sides. In the bottom of the fourth, James Outman's single off Logan Webb generated an 11.5 percent swing in the Dodgers' favor, and Jason Heyward's fielder's choice out immediately surrendered 10.2 percent back to San Francisco. The bottom of the fifth produced the single most consequential play of the night when J.D. Martinez grounded into a double play off Webb, collapsing Los Angeles's win probability by 13.0 percent at a moment when a rally might have changed the game's complexion. David Peralta's single in that same frame had briefly offered a 12.8 percent boost to the Dodgers, making it the sharpest back-and-forth sequence of the evening. In the top of the sixth, Luis Matos's double off Tony Gonsolin added 11.2 percent to the Giants' advantage and helped fuel their four-run burst that effectively closed things out.
Mike Yastrzemski was San Francisco's most impactful offensive performer, contributing 17.0 percent in cumulative win probability added and a RE24 of plus-1.4, the best mark among all batters. Outman and Peralta each finished among the night's top three WPA contributors despite playing for the losing side, reflecting how competitive the individual moments were before the Giants pulled away. On the mound, Logan Webb led all pitchers with a WPA of plus-4.8, a notable figure given that he also allowed both of the Dodgers' most significant positive swings while navigating a lineup that kept generating threats. Camilo Doval added 2.3 percent in relief as San Francisco secured the final verdict.