Pittsburgh Pirates at Milwaukee Brewers: Final Score & Recap
Line Score
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PIT | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 |
| MIL | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - | 5 | 6 | 0 |
The Story
The Milwaukee Brewers shut out the Pittsburgh Pirates 5-0 on June 17, 2023, at American Family Field, a result that moved the DiamondIQ model's estimate of a Milwaukee win from 56% before first pitch to 100% by game's end. Pittsburgh managed six hits but never converted any into runs, while the Brewers scored in three separate frames to build a lead that the Pirates never threatened.
The decisive blow came in the bottom of the third, when Joey Wiemer connected on a home run off Mitch Keller, a swing that shifted win probability by plus 16.2 percentage points and gave Milwaukee the game's first lead. Keller was hurt again in the fifth, when Rowdy Tellez doubled to extend the Brewers' advantage, a hit worth plus 13.6 percentage points of win probability. Pittsburgh's best chances to stay alive were extinguished by Austin Hedges, whose ground into a double play against Wade Miley in the top of the fifth cost the Pirates 6.3 percentage points, and whose pop out against Hoby Milner in the seventh surrendered another 5.9 percentage points.
On the individual ledger, Wiemer led all batters with a WPA of plus 14.5 and a RE24 of plus 1.3, while Tellez matched that RE24 figure and posted a WPA of plus 9.9. Mark Mathias contributed a plus 7.4 WPA, largely built on a seventh-inning walk against Milner. On the pitching side, Wade Miley was the most impactful arm in the game, finishing with a WPA of plus 18.4, with Peter Strzelecki adding plus 5.0 in relief support.