San Francisco Giants at Los Angeles Dodgers: Final Score & Recap

The San Francisco Giants routed the Los Angeles Dodgers 15-0 at Dodger Stadium on June 17, 2023, a result the DiamondIQ model's estimate made essentially inevitable by the final out, with pre-game home win probability sitting at 55% before collapsing entirely to 0%. San Francisco piled up 16 hits against a Dodger defense that committed three errors, while the Giants played a clean game with none of their own. The scoring was concentrated in the middle innings, with four runs in the fifth, five in the sixth, and three more in the seventh before the Giants added a final three in the ninth to complete the shutout.

The pivotal moment came in the top of the fifth, when LaMonte Wade Jr. connected on a home run off Bobby Miller that swung win probability by plus-22.5 percentage points, the single most impactful play of the game. Brandon Crawford followed later in the inning with a single that added another plus-10.3 points of win probability, pushing the Dodgers into territory from which they never recovered. The lone bright spot in the early going for Los Angeles was Michael Busch's double off Alex Wood in the bottom of the third, which generated a plus-6.4 point swing, though Will Smith's pop out two batters later erased the momentum with a minus-4.7 point hit to the Dodgers' chances.

On the individual side, Wade Jr. finished as the game's top performer by WPA at plus-21.2, backed by a robust plus-4.1 RE24, while Crawford contributed plus-18.0 WPA and plus-3.1 RE24 to anchor a Giants lineup that overwhelmed Los Angeles all night. Alex Wood was the standout on the mound, leading all pitchers with a plus-22.2 WPA as he limited the Dodgers to minimal damage and kept the shutout intact. Tristan Beck and Bryan Hudson each finished at plus-0.0 WPA in their appearances, completing a dominant collective pitching effort for San Francisco.