Colorado Rockies at Boston Red Sox: Final Score & Recap

The Boston Red Sox defeated the Colorado Rockies 6-3 at Fenway Park on June 14, 2023, in a game that remained competitive through six innings before a decisive fifth-run explosion in the bottom of the seventh put it out of reach. The DiamondIQ model entered the night favoring Boston at 62% and closed at 100% following that pivotal frame.

Colorado showed life in the top of the sixth when Ryan McMahon doubled off Garrett Whitlock, a swing that added 14.6% to the Rockies' win probability and represented the game's clearest Colorado threat. The Rockies carried a 2-1 lead into the bottom of the seventh, but the Red Sox unraveled Colorado's bullpen in a five-run inning that decided the contest. Rob Refsnyder delivered the single biggest play of the game, a triple off Brent Suter that shifted win probability by 23.6 points in Boston's favor. Connor Wong's walk against Suter added another 14.9 points, further entrenching Boston's grip on the game. Justin Turner's single off Peter Lambert and Enrique Hernandez's single off Austin Gomber each continued to drain whatever remaining probability Colorado held, adding 8.3% and 6.7% respectively.

Refsnyder finished as the game's top performer by WPA at plus-23.9% with a RE24 of plus-1.9, making his seventh-inning triple the definitive moment of the night. McMahon led Colorado at plus-15.0% WPA despite ending up on the losing side. On the mound, Austin Gomber paced all pitchers with a WPA of plus-14.2%, a figure reflecting his overall steadiness through the Colorado lineup, while Whitlock contributed plus-4.5% in his outing for Boston.