Philadelphia Phillies at Arizona Diamondbacks: Final Score & Recap

The Philadelphia Phillies held on to defeat the Arizona Diamondbacks 4-3 in ten innings at Chase Field on June 14, 2023, overcoming a deficit that had the DiamondIQ model's estimate of a Phillies victory as low as it could get late in the game. Philadelphia scored single runs in the second, third, and sixth innings before Arizona answered with a dramatic three-run eighth, and the game ultimately turned on a pair of critical moments in the final two frames.

Christian Walker delivered the game's single most impactful swing, a home run off Seranthony Domínguez in the bottom of the eighth that swung win probability 45.5 points in Arizona's favor and wiped out a 3-0 Philadelphia lead with one stroke. That hit made Walker the top performer of the night by WPA at plus-51.2 percent overall. But the Phillies responded in the tenth, where a Trea Turner fielding error and a Bryce Harper groundout combined to account for swings of plus-22.4 and plus-23.1 percent respectively in Philadelphia's favor, pushing across the go-ahead run. Arizona mounted one final threat in the bottom half, with Corbin Carroll's forceout off José Alvarado generating a 27.0-point win-probability swing for the Diamondbacks, but it was not enough to complete the comeback.

On the pitching side, Ranger Suárez was the clear standout for Philadelphia, finishing with a plus-44.9 percent WPA that reflected his ability to suppress Arizona's offense through the middle innings, including inducing a Lourdes Gurriel Jr. double-play ball in the third that swung the game 12.4 points toward the Phillies. The DiamondIQ model had opened with Arizona as a 64 percent favorite at Chase Field, making Philadelphia's extra-inning victory a sharp departure from the pre-game projection.