MLB Recap · June 6, 2023

Chicago White Sox at New York Yankees: Final Score & Recap

CWS3
Final
NYY2

Line Score

Team123456789RHE
CWS001020000370
NYY000000101230

The Story

The Chicago White Sox held on to defeat the New York Yankees 3-2 at Yankee Stadium on June 6, 2023, handing a Yankees team that entered with a 68 percent pre-game win probability according to the DiamondIQ model its final outcome of zero percent. The White Sox built their lead through the arm of Lucas Giolito, who led all pitchers with a WPA of plus-36.9 percent, and through the bat of catcher Seby Zavala, who delivered both of Chicago's offensive highlights against Clarke Schmidt. Zavala's first home run in the third inning added 10.7 percent win probability, then his two-run shot in the fifth swung the game by 21.1 percent, accounting for all three Chicago runs and leaving Zavala as the game's most impactful hitter by RE24 at plus-2.6.

The Yankees mounted their response in the final two innings, and closer Liam Hendriks found himself at the center of the game's most volatile sequence. Isiah Kiner-Falefa doubled in the seventh off Joe Kelly for a 12.0 percent swing in New York's favor, and Josh Donaldson brought the crowd to life with a solo home run off Hendriks in the ninth that added 10.9 percent win probability. But the very next meaningful moment belonged to Kiner-Falefa again, whose groundout to end the inning registered as the single biggest play of the game at plus-31.6 percent — this time in Chicago's favor — stranding the tying run and sealing the loss for New York. Despite his pair of clutch at-bats, Kiner-Falefa finished as the game's top batter by WPA at plus-39.7 percent, a number that reflects how deeply his at-bats shaped the game's tension without ultimately producing a Yankees win.

Kendall Graveman contributed plus-13.3 percent WPA out of the White Sox bullpen, and Jimmy Cordero added plus-3.4 percent as Chicago navigated the late innings without allowing the Yankees to complete the comeback. The final line told a clean story: Chicago posted seven hits and no errors while holding New York to just three hits, and the model's probability estimate swung nearly 70 percentage points from the opening pitch to the final out.

Analysis generated by DiamondIQ's model.

Win Probability

755025CWS bats firstFinalNYY win %CWS win %
DiamondIQ model home win probability across the game (pre-game 67.8% → final 0%).

Biggest Plays by Win-Probability Added

Isiah Kiner-Falefa Groundout
Bot 9th · off Liam Hendriks
+31.6%
Seby Zavala Home Run
Top 5th · off Clarke Schmidt
+21.1%
Bot 7th · off Joe Kelly
+12.0%
Josh Donaldson Home Run
Bot 9th · off Liam Hendriks
+10.9%
Seby Zavala Home Run
Top 3rd · off Clarke Schmidt
+10.7%

Top Batters by WPA

Isiah Kiner-Falefa+39.7%+0.6 RE24
Seby Zavala+30.4%+2.6 RE24
Josh Donaldson+6.2%+0.8 RE24

Top Pitchers by WPA

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