Seattle Mariners at San Diego Padres: Final Score & Recap
Line Score
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SEA | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 0 |
| SD | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 |
The Story
The Seattle Mariners handed the San Diego Padres a 4-1 defeat at Petco Park on June 6, 2023, with the DiamondIQ model's estimate of a Padres win opening at 50 percent and collapsing to zero by the final out. Seattle scored in just three innings but made each one count, building a lead that San Diego's offense never had an answer for against a sharp Logan Gilbert.
The decisive blows came in the sixth and eighth innings. Teoscar Hernández delivered the first major swing, connecting for a home run off Brent Honeywell in the top of the sixth that shifted win probability 14.6 percent in Seattle's favor. Two innings later, Julio Rodríguez extended the lead with a home run off Steven Wilson that added another 14.9 percent, effectively closing the door. Hernández compounded the damage in that same eighth with a single off Wilson worth an additional 7.4 percent. The Padres' most damaging moment came in the bottom of the sixth, when Gary Sánchez struck out against Gilbert, a swing of negative 7.1 percent that illustrated how thoroughly Seattle's starter suppressed any San Diego rally.
On the individual ledger, Hernández finished as the game's most impactful offensive player, posting a combined WPA of plus-18.1 percent and an RE24 of plus-1.4. Rodríguez and Ty France each contributed plus-0.8 RE24, with France's third-inning single off Joe Musgrove worth 8.5 percent in win probability and helping stake Seattle to an early foothold. Gilbert was the clear story on the mound, accumulating plus-28.5 percent WPA to pace all pitchers, while Musgrove posted plus-11.3 percent in a losing effort and Tom Cosgrove added plus-6.6 percent in relief for San Diego.