New York Yankees at Los Angeles Dodgers: Final Score & Recap
Line Score
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NYY | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 0 |
| LAD | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 0 |
The Story
The New York Yankees defeated the Los Angeles Dodgers 6-3 at Dodger Stadium on June 3, 2023, handing the home side a loss the DiamondIQ model had initially given a 55 percent chance of avoiding. New York scored in four separate innings, building leads of 2-0, 4-1, and 5-1 before Los Angeles mounted a partial response in the seventh. The DiamondIQ model's estimate of a Dodgers win fell steadily throughout the night, finishing at zero percent.
The decisive blow came in the fourth inning when Jake Bauers connected on a home run off Michael Grove, a swing that shifted win probability 19.6 percent in New York's favor and stood as the single largest offensive play of the game. Bauers finished as the top offensive performer by WPA at plus-25.7 percent with a RE24 of plus-3.0, underscoring how central his contribution was to the outcome. Los Angeles found brief life in the seventh when Miguel Vargas laced a triple off Wandy Peralta to swing the model's estimate 13.7 percent toward the Dodgers, but the rally proved insufficient. Michael King then shut the door in the eighth, inducing a strikeout from Vargas that shifted probability 9.7 percent back toward New York, and recording another key strikeout of Max Muncy to push the swing to plus-8.9 percent, finishing as the top pitching performer with a WPA of plus-28.0 percent.
Gerrit Cole was equally vital to the outcome, accumulating a WPA of plus-23.1 percent that included a sixth-inning double play ball off the bat of Will Smith, a ground-ball that swung win probability 7.4 percent toward New York and effectively deflated a Dodgers threat. Tayler Scott added a plus-4.7 percent contribution in relief. On the offensive side, Max Muncy finished with the second-highest WPA among position players at plus-14.5 percent despite his late strikeout, while Trayce Thompson contributed a plus-7.4 percent swing to round out the notable performers. New York's clean defense, committing zero errors against the Dodgers' seven hits, allowed Cole and the bullpen to work without self-inflicted damage throughout the evening.