Chicago White Sox at Detroit Tigers: Final Score & Recap

The Detroit Tigers edged the Chicago White Sox 6-5 in ten innings on May 28, 2023, at Comerica Park, rallying from a deficit to secure the walk-off victory. The DiamondIQ model entered the game assigning Detroit a 63% win probability, and that number climbed to 100% by the final out, reflecting a dramatic late-game swing that erased what had looked like a decisive Chicago advantage.

The game's turning points were clustered in two distinct bursts. In the bottom of the third, Akil Baddoo connected on a home run off Dylan Cease, a swing that added 33.7% to Detroit's win probability and gave the Tigers an early four-run frame. Chicago responded forcefully in the top of the seventh, when Eloy Jiménez laced a double off José Cisnero for a +19.6% win-probability swing, and Luis Robert Jr. followed with a fielder's choice that added another 18.4%, as the White Sox pushed across four runs to take a 5-4 lead. That sequence briefly flipped the model's momentum, but Detroit answered in the bottom of the ninth when Riley Greene tripled off Joe Kelly, a hit worth +32.2% in win probability that knotted the game and set up extra innings. In the tenth, Jonathan Schoop's flyout off Reynaldo López proved decisive, finishing with a +19.5% win-probability impact as Detroit pushed the winning run across.

Among individual performers, Riley Greene led all batters with a cumulative WPA of +34.0% and a RE24 of +0.8, his ninth-inning triple the signature moment of the game. Baddoo finished at +26.7% WPA with a RE24 of +2.6, while Jiménez contributed +19.5% WPA and a RE24 of +1.2 despite being on the losing side. On the mound, Kendall Graveman topped Detroit's pitching staff at +23.3% WPA, with Keynan Middleton and Tyler Holton each contributing roughly 11% in win-probability value as the Tigers bullpen held Chicago scoreless from the seventh inning onward to preserve the victory.