Boston Red Sox at Arizona Diamondbacks: Final Score & Recap

The Boston Red Sox handed the Arizona Diamondbacks a 7-2 defeat at Chase Field on May 26, 2023, collecting 14 hits while committing no errors in a performance that steadily dismantled a home team the DiamondIQ model had opened with a 58 percent win probability. Boston struck decisively in the second inning, with Triston Casas delivering a double that shifted win probability 5.9 points in the Red Sox's favor and Alex Verdugo following with a forceout that added another 7.2 points, part of a three-run frame against Brandon Pfaadt that effectively turned the game in Boston's direction. Nick Ahmed's groundout against Chris Sale in the bottom of that same inning represented the single play with the largest probability swing of the night, costing Arizona 10.7 points at a moment when the Diamondbacks still had a plausible path back into the game.

Enrique Hernández put the contest further out of reach with a fourth-inning home run off Pfaadt worth 10.0 points of win probability, giving Boston a two-run insurance cushion. Arizona's most credible response came immediately after, when Lourdes Gurriel Jr. laced a triple against Sale in the bottom of the fourth to swing 9.9 points toward the home side and narrow the gap temporarily, but the Diamondbacks could not convert that threat into a genuine rally. Boston tacked on additional runs in the sixth and eighth innings to reach the final margin.

Chris Sale was the dominant individual force of the evening by the DiamondIQ model's accounting, finishing with a game-high plus-23.0 percent in pitcher WPA, a figure that underscores how thoroughly he suppressed Arizona's offense. Among position players, Hernández and Verdugo each finished at plus-8.7 percent WPA, while Casas matched Hernández's RE24 of plus-1.4, reflecting the consistent run-context value both provided across the lineup. Josh Winckowski contributed an additional plus-4.1 percent in relief as Boston closed out a clean, error-free road win.