MLB Recap · May 26, 2023

Pittsburgh Pirates at Seattle Mariners: Final Score & Recap

PIT11
Final
SEA6

Line Score

Team123456789RHE
PIT10015121011150
SEA110020200671

The Story

The Pittsburgh Pirates handed the Seattle Mariners an 11-6 defeat at T-Mobile Park on May 26, 2023, erasing the DiamondIQ model's pre-game 53 percent home win probability and pushing that figure to zero by the final out. Pittsburgh totaled 15 hits without committing an error, while Seattle managed just 7 hits and was tagged with one miscue. The Pirates scored in six of nine innings, with their fifth-inning burst of five runs serving as the decisive blow that turned a close contest into a comfortable margin.

The fifth inning was where the game effectively ended, and Bryan Reynolds and Jack Suwinski were the central figures. Reynolds delivered a triple against George Kirby that swung win probability by 24.0 percentage points in Pittsburgh's favor, igniting the rally. Suwinski followed with a home run off Kirby worth 15.4 percentage points, extending the lead and putting the Pirates firmly in control. The damage to Kirby had actually begun an inning earlier, when Carlos Santana connected for a home run in the fourth that shifted win probability 11.3 points toward Pittsburgh. Seattle's most meaningful responses came on a Taylor Trammell single in the second, worth 6.9 points, and a Julio Rodríguez single in the fifth worth 6.6 points, but neither produced enough sustained offense to threaten the Pittsburgh advantage.

Reynolds finished as the game's top performer by a wide margin, accumulating a combined WPA of plus-30.3 percent and a RE24 of plus-4.3, reflecting his consistent run-creation impact throughout the lineup. Suwinski posted plus-25.0 percent WPA and plus-2.7 RE24, making the two Pirates outfielders responsible for the most consequential offensive swings of the night. On the pitching side, Yohan Ramírez contributed the strongest bullpen outing for Pittsburgh at plus-3.6 percent WPA, while Seattle's Chris Flexen finished at minus-1.9 percent, with the bulk of the pitching damage absorbed by starter George Kirby across those pivotal middle innings.

Analysis generated by DiamondIQ's model.

Win Probability

755025PIT bats firstFinalSEA win %PIT win %
DiamondIQ model home win probability across the game (pre-game 53% → final 0%).

Biggest Plays by Win-Probability Added

Bryan Reynolds Triple
Top 5th · off George Kirby
+24.0%
Jack Suwinski Home Run
Top 5th · off George Kirby
+15.4%
Carlos Santana Home Run
Top 4th · off George Kirby
+11.3%
Taylor Trammell Single
Bot 2nd · off Mitch Keller
+6.9%
Julio Rodríguez Single
Bot 5th · off Mitch Keller
+6.6%

Top Batters by WPA

Bryan Reynolds+30.3%+4.3 RE24
Jack Suwinski+25.0%+2.7 RE24
Julio Rodríguez+7.0%+2.1 RE24

Top Pitchers by WPA

Full box score, pitch data, and the play-by-play timeline
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