MLB Recap · May 26, 2023

San Francisco Giants at Milwaukee Brewers: Final Score & Recap

SF15
Final
MIL1

Line Score

Team123456789RHE
SF03700221015192
MIL100000000142

The Story

The San Francisco Giants demolished the Milwaukee Brewers 15-1 on May 26, 2023, at American Family Field, erasing the DiamondIQ model's pre-game 56% home win probability entirely and sending it to 0% by the final out. San Francisco erupted for three runs in the second inning and seven more in the third, effectively ending any competitive tension by the midpoint of the game. The Giants finished with 19 hits against a Milwaukee staff that surrendered runs in five of nine innings, while the Brewers managed just four hits all night.

The early innings told the whole story. Mitch Haniger delivered the decisive blow in the second inning, connecting on a home run off Freddy Peralta that added 7.9 percentage points of win probability to the Giants' ledger. Peralta continued to struggle in the third, where J.D. Davis punished him with a double that swung win probability another 9.7 points in San Francisco's favor, and Haniger added yet another extra-base hit — a double — worth 6.6 more points. Milwaukee's most significant counterpunch came in the second, when Tyrone Taylor flew out against Alex Wood with runners on base, a moment that cost the Brewers 7.3 percentage points of their dwindling win probability.

Haniger was the game's standout offensive performer, finishing with a combined WPA of plus-14.6 and a RE24 of plus-2.8. Davis complemented him with plus-10.0 WPA and plus-3.0 RE24, while catcher Patrick Bailey contributed plus-5.8 WPA and plus-2.0 RE24 in a lineup that produced consistently top to bottom. On the mound, Alex Wood was the model's top-rated pitcher, posting plus-8.3 WPA in a performance that kept Milwaukee's lineup largely neutralized throughout the contest.

Analysis generated by DiamondIQ's model.

Win Probability

755025SF bats firstFinalMIL win %SF win %
DiamondIQ model home win probability across the game (pre-game 55.9% → final 0%).

Biggest Plays by Win-Probability Added

J.D. Davis Double
Top 3rd · off Freddy Peralta
+9.7%
Mitch Haniger Home Run
Top 2nd · off Freddy Peralta
+7.9%
Tyrone Taylor Flyout
Bot 2nd · off Alex Wood
-7.3%
Mitch Haniger Double
Top 3rd · off Freddy Peralta
+6.7%
LaMonte Wade Jr. Strikeout
Top 2nd · off Freddy Peralta
+4.3%

Top Batters by WPA

Mitch Haniger+14.6%+2.8 RE24
J.D. Davis+10.0%+3.0 RE24
Patrick Bailey+5.8%+2.0 RE24

Top Pitchers by WPA

Full box score, pitch data, and the play-by-play timeline
Open Game Center →