San Francisco Giants at Milwaukee Brewers: Final Score & Recap

The San Francisco Giants shut out the Milwaukee Brewers 5-0 on May 25, 2023, at American Family Field, completing a dominant performance that flipped the DiamondIQ model's estimate from a 58 percent pre-game home win probability for Milwaukee all the way to zero. The Giants held the Brewers to just four hits across nine innings while committing no errors, and San Francisco's offense broke through in two decisive bursts that erased any realistic path back for the home side.

The game turned in the fifth inning when LaMonte Wade Jr. delivered a single off Julio Teheran that carried a win-probability swing of plus 11.5 percent, giving San Francisco its first run and shifting momentum with meaningful model weight behind it. The Giants then blew the contest open in the top of the eighth against reliever Tyson Miller, when Michael Conforto launched a home run worth plus 14.9 percent in win probability and Casey Schmitt followed with a double adding another plus 14.7 percent, the two most impactful plays of the night. That eighth-inning sequence produced four runs and rendered the result a formality. Conforto finished as the game's top offensive contributor with a combined WPA of plus 23.1 percent and a RE24 of plus 2.4, while Schmitt posted plus 15.2 percent WPA and plus 1.6 RE24, and Wade Jr. added plus 11.5 percent WPA.

On the mound, Sean Manaea paced San Francisco's pitching staff with a plus 14.1 percent WPA contribution, holding Milwaukee in check through the critical middle innings. Tyrone Taylor's strikeout against Manaea in the bottom of the fifth represented the Brewers' single biggest negative swing of the night at minus 6.2 percent, a moment that underlined how thoroughly Milwaukee's offense was neutralized. Tyler Rogers and Trevor Megill added plus 9.7 and plus 9.5 percent WPA respectively in relief, completing a four-hit shutout that left the DiamondIQ model with no probability remaining for a Milwaukee comeback.