New York Yankees at Baltimore Orioles: Final Score & Recap
Line Score
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NYY | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 1 |
| BAL | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 |
The Story
The New York Yankees defeated the Baltimore Orioles 4-1 on April 8, 2023, at Oriole Park at Camden Yards, overcoming a game in which the DiamondIQ model's estimate opened with Baltimore holding a 54% win probability and ended with the Orioles at 0%. The Yankees broke through in the fourth inning on an Aaron Hicks single off Cole Irvin that shifted win probability by 10.0 percentage points, then did the bulk of their damage in the fifth, scoring three runs to effectively close the door on any Baltimore comeback.
The fifth inning was where the game turned decisively. Anthony Volpe's triple off Irvin added 10.7 percentage points of win probability, the single biggest swing of the night, followed closely by Giancarlo Stanton's home run off Austin Voth, who had entered in relief, which added another 10.3 points. A DJ LeMahieu double off Irvin earlier in the inning contributed an additional 8.3 percentage-point swing, making it a collective fifth-inning dismantling that left Baltimore with little room to respond. The Orioles' most meaningful moment came in the ninth when Ramón Urías grounded out against Clay Holmes, a sequence that paradoxically registered as a +5.7-point swing in Baltimore's favor under the DiamondIQ model's estimate, reflecting how thoroughly the game had already tilted toward New York.
On the pitching side, Jhony Brito led all performers with a +14.6% WPA contribution, with Michael King adding +12.3% and Wandy Peralta contributing +5.2%, as the Yankees' staff held Baltimore to four hits across nine innings. Stanton paced the offensive performers at +7.8% WPA, while Volpe's triple anchored a strong night that finished with the Yankees collecting seven hits against one error.