St. Louis Cardinals at Milwaukee Brewers: Final Score & Recap

The St. Louis Cardinals shut out the Milwaukee Brewers 6-0 at American Family Field on April 8, 2023, completing their scoring in just the first two innings and never allowing the DiamondIQ model's pre-game estimate of a 54 percent Milwaukee win probability to materialize. The Cardinals plated two runs in the first inning and added four more in the third, rendering the remaining six frames largely academic as the Brewers finished without a run on five hits and an error.

The decisive stretch came in the third inning, when St. Louis turned a manageable deficit in momentum into a commanding lead against Eric Lauer. Paul Goldschmidt opened the damage with a double that added 5.0 percent to the Cardinals' win probability, and Nolan Arenado followed with a home run worth 10.4 percent in win-probability swing. Jordan Walker then connected on his own home run off Lauer, contributing another 9.4 percent swing. On the Milwaukee side, Christian Yelich's groundout in the first inning cost the Brewers 6.0 percent in win probability, and Brian Anderson's groundout in the second surrendered another 6.8 percent, both off Cardinals starter Jordan Montgomery, illustrating how early the Brewers failed to generate any traction.

Arenado led all position players with a WPA of plus 10.1 percent and an RE24 of plus 2.2, while Walker posted plus 8.4 percent WPA and plus 1.9 RE24. Tyler O'Neill contributed plus 5.4 percent WPA as well. The most dominant individual performance, however, belonged to Jordan Montgomery on the mound, who accumulated plus 23.9 percent WPA across his outing, the single largest contribution by any player in the game and the principal reason the DiamondIQ model's final win probability for Milwaukee settled at zero percent.