MLB Recap · April 6, 2023

New York Yankees at Baltimore Orioles: Final Score & Recap

NYY6
Final
BAL7

Line Score

Team123456789RHE
NYY000302010691
BAL02200120-7100

The Story

The Baltimore Orioles defeated the New York Yankees 7-6 on April 6, 2023, at Oriole Park at Camden Yards in a game that shifted dramatically across nine innings. The DiamondIQ model opened with Baltimore holding a 54% pre-game win probability, and while the Yankees threatened on multiple occasions, the model closed at 100% in favor of the Orioles by the final out.

The most consequential offensive swing came in the top of the fourth, when Franchy Cordero hit a home run off Dean Kremer that added 21.8% in win probability for New York, briefly tilting the game in the Yankees' favor. Baltimore responded methodically, with Ramón Urías delivering a double off Jimmy Cordero in the bottom of the seventh that swung win probability by 15.1%, and Adley Rutschman adding a single off Ron Marinaccio in the sixth worth 13.0%. Oswaldo Cabrera had countered in the top of the sixth with a double off Logan Gillaspie worth 14.2% for New York, but the Yankees' hopes were blunted in the eighth when Jose Trevino grounded into a double play off Bryan Baker, a play that cost New York 15.8% in win probability at a critical juncture.

Among the game's standout performers, Franchy Cordero led all batters with a WPA of plus-22.4% and an RE24 of plus-2.8, while Ramón Urías and Oswaldo Cabrera posted marks of plus-19.7% and plus-19.3% WPA respectively. On the pitching side, Bryan Baker led all arms with a WPA of plus-22.5%, followed by Félix Bautista at plus-15.2% and Ian Hamilton at plus-11.2%, as Baltimore's bullpen proved decisive in protecting the one-run margin.

Analysis generated by DiamondIQ's model.

Win Probability

755025NYY bats firstFinalBAL win %NYY win %
DiamondIQ model home win probability across the game (pre-game 54% → final 100%).

Biggest Plays by Win-Probability Added

Franchy Cordero Home Run
Top 4th · off Dean Kremer
+21.8%
Jose Trevino Grounded Into DP
Top 8th · off Bryan Baker
-15.8%
Ramón Urías Double
Bot 7th · off Jimmy Cordero
+15.1%
Oswaldo Cabrera Double
Top 6th · off Logan Gillaspie
+14.2%
Adley Rutschman Single
Bot 6th · off Ron Marinaccio
+13.0%

Top Batters by WPA

Franchy Cordero+22.4%+2.8 RE24
Ramón Urías+19.7%+1.5 RE24
Oswaldo Cabrera+19.3%+1.3 RE24

Top Pitchers by WPA

Full box score, pitch data, and the play-by-play timeline
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