MLB Recap · April 5, 2023

San Francisco Giants at Chicago White Sox: Final Score & Recap

SF3
Final
CWS7

Line Score

Team123456789RHE
SF010000002341
CWS20002030-7131

The Story

The Chicago White Sox defeated the San Francisco Giants 7-3 at Guaranteed Rate Field on April 5, 2023, with Chicago controlling the game from the start. The DiamondIQ model's estimate opened at 54% in favor of the home side and closed at 100%, a reflection of how thoroughly the White Sox dismantled their opponents across nine innings. Chicago collected 13 hits compared to San Francisco's 4, and the Giants' lone error compounded their difficulties against a White Sox lineup that was productive throughout.

The game's most impactful moment came in the bottom of the fifth, when Luis Robert Jr. lashed a double off Logan Webb that shifted win probability by plus 9.6 percentage points in Chicago's favor, extending what was already a comfortable lead. The seventh inning proved to be where San Francisco's hopes fully collapsed. Joc Pederson struck out against Reynaldo López, a swing of minus 9.2 percentage points, and Michael Conforto followed with another strikeout against Aaron Bummer, costing the Giants another 6.8 points of win probability. Roberto Pérez drew a walk off Bummer that registered plus 7.4 percentage points from San Francisco's perspective, but it amounted to little as Chicago put up three runs in the bottom half of the frame to put the contest away. An Andrew Vaughn groundout into a double play in the fourth, at minus 7.0 percentage points, was one of the few moments where Chicago left runs on the table.

Dylan Cease was the standout performer of the evening, generating plus 18.4 percentage points of win probability from the mound to lead all players in that category. Reynaldo López and Jake Diekman each added plus 5.0 percentage points in relief. Offensively, Luis Robert Jr. led the way at plus 9.6 WPA and plus 1.6 RE24, with Elvis Andrus and LaMonte Wade Jr. also contributing meaningfully at plus 6.6 and plus 6.5 WPA respectively. Logan Webb absorbed the loss, giving up runs in multiple innings against a White Sox lineup that had little trouble with him on the night.

Analysis generated by DiamondIQ's model.

Win Probability

755025SF bats firstFinalCWS win %SF win %
DiamondIQ model home win probability across the game (pre-game 54% → final 100%).

Biggest Plays by Win-Probability Added

Luis Robert Jr. Double
Bot 5th · off Logan Webb
+9.6%
Joc Pederson Strikeout
Top 7th · off Reynaldo López
-9.2%
Top 7th · off Aaron Bummer
+7.4%
Andrew Vaughn Grounded Into DP
Bot 4th · off Logan Webb
-7.0%
Michael Conforto Strikeout
Top 7th · off Aaron Bummer
-6.8%

Top Batters by WPA

Luis Robert Jr.+9.6%+1.6 RE24
Elvis Andrus+6.6%+0.6 RE24
LaMonte Wade Jr.+6.5%+0.9 RE24

Top Pitchers by WPA

Full box score, pitch data, and the play-by-play timeline
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