MLB Recap · April 3, 2023

Colorado Rockies at Los Angeles Dodgers: Final Score & Recap

COL4
Final
LAD13

Line Score

Team123456789RHE
COL000040000461
LAD00207022-13130

The Story

The Los Angeles Dodgers handled the Colorado Rockies convincingly at Dodger Stadium on April 3, 2023, winning 13-4 in a game that was not particularly close by its final stages. The DiamondIQ model opened with a 54 percent pre-game home win probability for Los Angeles and closed at 100 percent, a reflection of how thoroughly the Dodgers controlled the contest once they seized the lead.

The pivotal sequence came in the bottom of the fifth inning, where Los Angeles sent seven runs across the plate against Jake Bird in a frame that functionally decided the outcome. James Outman delivered the most impactful single play of the game, a triple off Bird that swung win probability by 24.5 points in the Dodgers' favor. J.D. Martinez followed with a single that added another 19.5 points of win probability, compounding the damage. The Rockies had briefly generated some counter-pressure in the top of that same inning, as Harold Castro's single off Michael Grove shifted the win probability 17.7 points toward Colorado, but the Dodgers answered emphatically. Chris Taylor had also given Los Angeles an early foothold with a home run off Ryan Feltner in the bottom of the third, a swing worth 16.2 points of win probability.

Among the game's top performers by the DiamondIQ model's estimate, Outman led all position players with a WPA of plus 21.3 and an RE24 of plus 2.5, while Martinez contributed plus 15.8 WPA and plus 2.0 RE24. Harold Castro was the standout on the Colorado side, posting plus 14.2 WPA despite the lopsided result. On the pitching side, Phil Bickford led Dodgers relievers with a WPA of plus 3.3 as Los Angeles preserved the margin through a clean final four innings.

Analysis generated by DiamondIQ's model.

Win Probability

755025COL bats firstFinalLAD win %COL win %
DiamondIQ model home win probability across the game (pre-game 54% → final 100%).

Biggest Plays by Win-Probability Added

James Outman Triple
Bot 5th · off Jake Bird
+24.5%
J.D. Martinez Single
Bot 5th · off Jake Bird
+19.5%
Harold Castro Single
Top 5th · off Yency Almonte
+17.7%
Chris Taylor Home Run
Bot 3rd · off Ryan Feltner
+16.2%
Elias Díaz Double
Top 5th · off Michael Grove
+10.1%

Top Batters by WPA

James Outman+21.3%+2.5 RE24
J.D. Martinez+15.8%+2.0 RE24
Harold Castro+14.2%+0.8 RE24

Top Pitchers by WPA

Full box score, pitch data, and the play-by-play timeline
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