MLB Recap · April 3, 2023

San Francisco Giants at Chicago White Sox: Final Score & Recap

SF12
Final
CWS3

Line Score

Team123456789RHE
SF02104000512140
CWS000000210350

The Story

The San Francisco Giants rolled to a 12-3 victory over the Chicago White Sox at Guaranteed Rate Field on April 3, 2023, turning what the DiamondIQ model opened as a 54 percent home-win probability into a complete rout that ended at zero percent for Chicago. San Francisco spread 14 hits across the contest with no errors, while the White Sox managed just five hits against a Giants staff that kept them off the board until the seventh inning.

The game turned decisively in the middle innings, and two Chicago miscues at the plate made the margin steeper. In the bottom of the second, Yasmani Grandal's pop out against Anthony DeSclafani erased a chance to get something started, costing the White Sox 8.8 percentage points of win probability. An inning later, Mike Yastrzemski delivered the game's most impactful offensive swing, a double off Michael Kopech that added 8.2 percentage points to San Francisco's chances and extended the Giants' lead. The fifth inning proved decisive, as Kopech again surrendered the big blow — a Michael Conforto home run worth 7.4 percentage points — followed by a Thairo Estrada home run that added another 5.1 points. Yoan Moncada's ground into a double play in the bottom of the fourth had already bled 9.6 points from Chicago's outlook, a sequence that effectively sealed the outcome before San Francisco's nine-run final four innings.

Individually, Yastrzemski led all position players with a combined WPA of plus-13.5 and a RE24 of plus-2.6, while Estrada contributed plus-7.1 WPA and Conforto added plus-5.7. On the mound, Anthony DeSclafani was the story, posting a WPA of plus-23.0 — by far the largest single-player contribution in the game — as he repeatedly neutralized White Sox threats and allowed the Giants' offense to pull away without resistance.

Analysis generated by DiamondIQ's model.

Win Probability

755025SF bats firstFinalCWS win %SF win %
DiamondIQ model home win probability across the game (pre-game 54% → final 0%).

Biggest Plays by Win-Probability Added

Yoán Moncada Grounded Into DP
Bot 4th · off Anthony DeSclafani
-9.6%
Yasmani Grandal Pop Out
Bot 2nd · off Anthony DeSclafani
-8.8%
Mike Yastrzemski Double
Top 3rd · off Michael Kopech
+8.2%
Michael Conforto Home Run
Top 5th · off Michael Kopech
+7.4%
Thairo Estrada Home Run
Top 5th · off Michael Kopech
+5.1%

Top Batters by WPA

Mike Yastrzemski+13.5%+2.6 RE24
Thairo Estrada+7.1%+1.3 RE24
Michael Conforto+5.7%+0.2 RE24

Top Pitchers by WPA

Full box score, pitch data, and the play-by-play timeline
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