MLB Recap · February 27, 2023

Miami Marlins at Houston Astros: Final Score & Recap

MIA4
Final
HOU3

Line Score

Team123456789RHE
MIA0200020004100
HOU011000010360

The Story

AI recap unavailable for archived games. The final score, win-probability story, biggest plays, and top performers are all shown below.

Win Probability

755025MIA bats firstFinalHOU win %MIA win %
DiamondIQ model home win probability across the game (pre-game 54% → final 0%).

Biggest Plays by Win-Probability Added

Jacob Melton Strikeout
Bot 9th · off Enrique Burgos
+31.6%
Justin Dirden Home Run
Bot 8th · off Eli Villalobos
+18.8%
Ross Adolph Strikeout
Bot 8th · off Eli Villalobos
-18.7%
Bryan De La Cruz Triple
Top 6th · off Shawn Dubin
+11.9%
J.J. Matijevic Home Run
Bot 3rd · off Matt Barnes
+11.2%

Top Batters by WPA

Jacob Melton+28.9%-0.3 RE24
Justin Dirden+18.8%+1.0 RE24
Bryan De La Cruz+10.3%+0.8 RE24

Top Pitchers by WPA

Full box score, pitch data, and the play-by-play timeline
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