MLB Preview · September 27, 2026
Tampa Bay Rays at Philadelphia Phillies: Prediction, Odds & Preview
TB 85-58at PHI 80-63·Citizens Bank Park·
DiamondIQ Model — Win Probability
TB49.3%50.7%PHI
The model leans PHI (50.7%). DiamondIQ model v2: season records, home-field advantage, the starting-pitcher quality gap (PitchIQ), and a calibration adjustment fit and validated on four seasons of backtest — plus live game state once underway.
Forecast at First Pitch
☀️84°FClear
Wind 10 mph S · out to CF
Precip 0%
Injured List
TB
Ben Williamson (2B)Injured 10-Day
Garrett Cleavinger (P)Injured 15-Day
Manuel Rodríguez (P)Injured 15-Day
Shane McClanahan (P)Injured 15-Day
Edwin Uceta (P)Injured 60-Day
Gavin Lux (LF)Injured 60-Day
PHI
Caleb Kilian (P)Injured 15-Day
Adolis García (RF)Injured 60-Day
Brad Keller (P)Injured 60-Day
Felix Reyes (LF)Injured 60-Day
Johan Rojas (CF)Injured 60-Day
Tanner Banks (P)Injured 60-Day
Follow it live in the Game Center
Live win probability, pitch-by-pitch, and the model updating in real time.