MLB Preview · September 26, 2026

Arizona Diamondbacks at San Diego Padres: Prediction, Odds & Preview

AZ 76-68at SD 75-68·Petco Park·

DiamondIQ Model — Win Probability

AZ47.6%52.4%SD

The model leans SD (52.4%). DiamondIQ model v2: season records, home-field advantage, the starting-pitcher quality gap (PitchIQ), and a calibration adjustment fit and validated on four seasons of backtest — plus live game state once underway.

Forecast at First Pitch

🌦️82°FDrizzle
Wind 7 mph W · L→R
Precip 5%

Injured List

AZ
Michael Soroka (P)Injured 15-Day
A.J. Puk (P)Injured 60-Day
Andrew Saalfrank (P)Injured 60-Day
Corbin Burnes (P)Injured 60-Day
Cristian Mena (P)Injured 60-Day
Ryan Thompson (P)Injured 60-Day
SD
Gavin Sheets (1B)Injured 10-Day
Miguel Andujar (DH)Injured 10-Day
Jeremiah Estrada (P)Injured 15-Day
Bryan Hoeing (P)Injured 60-Day
Jason Adam (P)Injured 60-Day
Joe Musgrove (P)Injured 60-Day
Follow it live in the Game Center
Live win probability, pitch-by-pitch, and the model updating in real time.
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