MLB Preview · September 25, 2026
Tampa Bay Rays at Philadelphia Phillies: Prediction, Odds & Preview
TB 59-42at PHI 56-47·Citizens Bank Park·
DiamondIQ Model — Win Probability
TB49.6%50.4%PHI
The model leans PHI (50.4%). DiamondIQ model v2: season records, home-field advantage, the starting-pitcher quality gap (PitchIQ), and a calibration adjustment fit and validated on four seasons of backtest — plus live game state once underway.
Forecast at First Pitch
☀️81°FClear
Wind 9 mph ESE · R→L
Precip 1%
Injured List
TB
Jake Fraley (RF)Injured 10-Day
Jesse Scholtens (P)Injured 15-Day
Steven Matz (P)Injured 15-Day
Edwin Uceta (P)Injured 60-Day
Gavin Lux (LF)Injured 60-Day
Jonathan Heasley (P)Injured 60-Day
PHI
Garrett Stubbs (C)Injured 10-Day
Brad Keller (P)Injured 15-Day
Lou Trivino III (P)Injured 15-Day
Tanner Banks (P)Injured 15-Day
Adolis García (RF)Injured 60-Day
Johan Rojas (CF)Injured 60-Day
Follow it live in the Game Center
Live win probability, pitch-by-pitch, and the model updating in real time.