MLB Preview · September 9, 2026
Tampa Bay Rays at Atlanta Braves: Prediction, Odds & Preview
TB 85-57at ATL 85-58·Truist Park·
DiamondIQ Model — Win Probability
TB47.7%52.3%ATL
The model leans ATL (52.3%). DiamondIQ model v2: season records, home-field advantage, the starting-pitcher quality gap (PitchIQ), and a calibration adjustment fit and validated on four seasons of backtest — plus live game state once underway.
Probable Pitchers
TB
ERA
3.82
WHIP
1.27
K%
25.5
BB%
8.1
K/9
9.64
IP
94.1
Arsenal
Sweeper 25% · 88mphChangeup 23% · 91mphSinker 21% · 95mphFour-Seam 18% · 96mphCurveball 9% · 85mph
ATL
Probable pitcher TBD.
Forecast at First Pitch
⛅89°FPartly cloudy
Wind 8 mph ESE · in from CF
Precip 3%
Injured List
TB
Ben Williamson (2B)Injured 10-Day
Garrett Cleavinger (P)Injured 15-Day
Manuel Rodríguez (P)Injured 15-Day
Shane McClanahan (P)Injured 15-Day
Edwin Uceta (P)Injured 60-Day
Gavin Lux (LF)Injured 60-Day
ATL
Reynaldo López (P)Injured 15-Day
Joe Jiménez (P)Injured 60-Day
Joey Wentz (P)Injured 60-Day
Robert Suarez (P)Injured 60-Day
Spencer Schwellenbach (P)Injured 60-Day
Spencer Strider (P)Injured 60-Day
Follow it live in the Game Center
Live win probability, pitch-by-pitch, and the model updating in real time.