MLB Preview · September 9, 2026

Cleveland Guardians at Baltimore Orioles: Prediction, Odds & Preview

CLE 73-71at BAL 69-75·Oriole Park at Camden Yards·

DiamondIQ Model — Win Probability

CLE49.1%50.9%BAL

The model leans BAL (50.9%). DiamondIQ model v2: season records, home-field advantage, the starting-pitcher quality gap (PitchIQ), and a calibration adjustment fit and validated on four seasons of backtest — plus live game state once underway.

Probable Pitchers

CLE
Foster Griffin
ERA
3.26
WHIP
1.14
K%
21.6
BB%
6.2
K/9
7.97
IP
160.1
Arsenal
Cutter 33% · 89mphFour-Seam 17% · 92mphSweeper 14% · 80mphChangeup 11% · 82mphSinker 10% · 91mph
BAL
Shane Baz
ERA
3.91
WHIP
1.33
K%
20.9
BB%
8.2
K/9
7.99
IP
163.1
Arsenal
Four-Seam 34% · 96mphCurveball 33% · 85mphCutter 15% · 90mphSinker 9% · 95mphChangeup 9% · 88mph

Forecast at First Pitch

☁️79°FOvercast
Wind 6 mph SE · R→L
Precip 0%

Injured List

CLE
Rhys Hoskins (1B)Injured 10-Day
Colin Holderman (P)Injured 15-Day
Shawn Armstrong (P)Injured 60-Day
BAL
Christian Franklin (CF)Injured 10-Day
Luis Robert Jr. (CF)Injured 10-Day
Tyler O'Neill (RF)Injured 10-Day
Colin Selby (P)Injured 60-Day
Félix Bautista (P)Injured 60-Day
Jordan Westburg (3B)Injured 60-Day
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