MLB Preview · September 9, 2026
Arizona Diamondbacks at Kansas City Royals: Prediction, Odds & Preview
AZ 75-68at KC 63-80·Kauffman Stadium·
DiamondIQ Model — Win Probability
AZ51.8%48.2%KC
The model leans AZ (51.8%). DiamondIQ model v2: season records, home-field advantage, the starting-pitcher quality gap (PitchIQ), and a calibration adjustment fit and validated on four seasons of backtest — plus live game state once underway.
Probable Pitchers
AZ
Probable pitcher TBD.
KC
ERA
3.51
WHIP
1.10
K%
16.8
BB%
7.3
K/9
6.21
IP
66.2
Arsenal
Sinker 31% · 94mphChangeup 24% · 86mphSlider 21% · 87mphFour-Seam 15% · 95mphCurveball 8% · 82mph
Forecast at First Pitch
⛅105°FPartly cloudy
Wind 12 mph SSW · out to CF
Precip 1%
Injured List
AZ
Michael Soroka (P)Injured 15-Day
A.J. Puk (P)Injured 60-Day
Andrew Saalfrank (P)Injured 60-Day
Corbin Burnes (P)Injured 60-Day
Cristian Mena (P)Injured 60-Day
Ryan Thompson (P)Injured 60-Day
KC
Maikel Garcia (3B)Injured 10-Day
Beck Way (P)Injured 15-Day
Tony Gonsolin (P)Injured 15-Day
Alec Marsh (P)Injured 60-Day
Carlos Estévez (P)Injured 60-Day
Cole Ragans (P)Injured 60-Day
Follow it live in the Game Center
Live win probability, pitch-by-pitch, and the model updating in real time.