MLB Preview · September 7, 2026
Cleveland Guardians at Baltimore Orioles: Prediction, Odds & Preview
CLE 72-71at BAL 69-74·Oriole Park at Camden Yards·
DiamondIQ Model — Win Probability
CLE48.5%51.5%BAL
The model leans BAL (51.5%). DiamondIQ model v2: season records, home-field advantage, the starting-pitcher quality gap (PitchIQ), and a calibration adjustment fit and validated on four seasons of backtest — plus live game state once underway.
Probable Pitchers
CLE
ERA
3.81
WHIP
1.48
K%
24.5
BB%
11.7
K/9
9.59
IP
141.2
Arsenal
Four-Seam 33% · 92mphCurveball 30% · 80mphChangeup 25% · 81mphCutter 7% · 87mphSlider 5% · 83mph
BAL
ERA
4.30
WHIP
1.23
K%
21.9
BB%
6.1
K/9
8.23
IP
144.1
Arsenal
Four-Seam 46% · 94mphChangeup 21% · 87mphSweeper 14% · 78mphSinker 10% · 93mphCutter 9% · 83mph
Forecast at First Pitch
⛅83°FPartly cloudy
Wind 4 mph NNW · L→R
Precip 0%
Model vs Market
MoneylineCLE +110 · BAL -121
Total9
Market implied (BAL)53.5%
Model − market (BAL)-2 pts
Consensus across 3 books · for information only, not betting advice.
Injured List
CLE
BAL
Christian Franklin (CF)Injured 10-Day
Luis Robert Jr. (CF)Injured 10-Day
Tyler O'Neill (RF)Injured 10-Day
Colin Selby (P)Injured 60-Day
Félix Bautista (P)Injured 60-Day
Jordan Westburg (3B)Injured 60-Day
Follow it live in the Game Center
Live win probability, pitch-by-pitch, and the model updating in real time.