MLB Preview · September 6, 2026
Washington Nationals at Los Angeles Dodgers: Prediction, Odds & Preview
WSH 67-77at LAD 85-57·UNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium·
DiamondIQ Model — Win Probability
WSH40.5%59.5%LAD
The model leans LAD (59.5%). DiamondIQ model v2: season records, home-field advantage, the starting-pitcher quality gap (PitchIQ), and a calibration adjustment fit and validated on four seasons of backtest — plus live game state once underway.
Probable Pitchers
WSH
ERA
3.47
WHIP
1.31
K%
22.5
BB%
10.7
K/9
8.54
IP
90.2
Arsenal
Curveball 31% · 83mphFour-Seam 28% · 92mphSlider 21% · 84mphSinker 15% · 92mphChangeup 5% · 86mph
LAD
ERA
3.65
WHIP
1.11
K%
19.8
BB%
5.5
K/9
7.29
IP
128.1
Arsenal
Four-Seam 50% · 95mphSlider 28% · 87mphSinker 8% · 94mphChangeup 5% · 86mphCurveball 5% · 75mph
Forecast at First Pitch
☁️76°FOvercast
Wind 4 mph NNW · L→R
Precip 5%
Model vs Market
MoneylineWSH +166 · LAD -198
Total8.5
Market implied (LAD)63.9%
Model − market (LAD)-4.3 pts
Consensus across 9 books · for information only, not betting advice.
Injured List
WSH
Connelly Early (P)Injured 60-Day
DJ Herz (P)Injured 60-Day
Drew Millas (C)Injured 60-Day
Josiah Gray (P)Injured 60-Day
Ken Waldichuk (P)Injured 60-Day
Mitchell Parker (P)Injured 60-Day
LAD
Andy Pages (CF)Injured 10-Day
Edwin Díaz (P)Injured 15-Day
Eric Lauer (P)Injured 15-Day
Roki Sasaki (P)Injured 15-Day
Ben Casparius (P)Injured 60-Day
Brusdar Graterol (P)Injured 60-Day
Follow it live in the Game Center
Live win probability, pitch-by-pitch, and the model updating in real time.