MLB Preview · September 6, 2026
Milwaukee Brewers at Cincinnati Reds: Prediction, Odds & Preview
MIL 88-55at CIN 68-74·Great American Ball Park·
DiamondIQ Model — Win Probability
MIL56.3%43.7%CIN
The model leans MIL (56.3%). DiamondIQ model v2: season records, home-field advantage, the starting-pitcher quality gap (PitchIQ), and a calibration adjustment fit and validated on four seasons of backtest — plus live game state once underway.
Probable Pitchers
MIL
ERA
3.67
WHIP
1.28
K%
28.5
BB%
7.0
K/9
10.93
IP
110.1
Arsenal
Four-Seam 58% · 95mphSlurve 31% · 82mphChangeup 9% · 86mphSinker 2% · 94mph
CIN
ERA
4.88
WHIP
1.45
K%
18.4
BB%
7.5
K/9
7.41
IP
145.2
Arsenal
Sinker 50% · 91mphSlider 26% · 83mphSweeper 15% · 82mphCutter 7% · 87mphFour-Seam 2% · 91mph
Pitch-Type Matchup — Opposing Lineups vs the Starters
| Pitch | Usage | MIL wOBA | MIL Whiff | CIN wOBA | CIN Whiff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Four-Seam | 60% | .359 | 22% | .367 | 26% |
| Slider | 58% | .302 | 35% | .316 | 35% |
| Sinker | 52% | .372 | 14% | .356 | 15% |
| Sweeper | 15% | .321 | 29% | .302 | 32% |
| Changeup | 9% | .297 | 35% | .299 | 34% |
| Cutter | 7% | .394 | 28% | .405 | 21% |
Season Statcast: how each lineup has fared against these pitch types.
Forecast at First Pitch
☀️77°FClear
Wind 9 mph ENE · L→R
Precip 0%
Injured List
MIL
Bryse Wilson (P)Injured 15-Day
Angel Zerpa (P)Injured 60-Day
Brandon Woodruff (P)Injured 60-Day
Brian Fitzpatrick (P)Injured 60-Day
Quinn Priester (P)Injured 60-Day
Rob Zastryzny (P)Injured 60-Day
CIN
Ke'Bryan Hayes (3B)Injured 10-Day
Spencer Steer (1B)Injured 10-Day
Blake Dunn (CF)Injured 60-Day
Hunter Greene (P)Injured 60-Day
Michael Toglia (1B)Injured 60-Day
Follow it live in the Game Center
Live win probability, pitch-by-pitch, and the model updating in real time.