MLB Preview · August 31, 2026
San Diego Padres at Cincinnati Reds: Prediction, Odds & Preview
SD 48-49at CIN 44-52·Great American Ball Park·
DiamondIQ Model — Win Probability
SD49.3%50.7%CIN
The model leans CIN (50.7%). DiamondIQ model v2: season records, home-field advantage, the starting-pitcher quality gap (PitchIQ), and a calibration adjustment fit and validated on four seasons of backtest — plus live game state once underway.
Forecast at First Pitch
☁️85°FOvercast
Wind 4 mph NW · out to CF
Precip 1%
Injured List
SD
Samad Taylor (LF)Injured 10-Day
David Morgan (P)Injured 15-Day
Jason Adam (P)Injured 15-Day
Jeremiah Estrada (P)Injured 15-Day
Lucas Giolito (P)Injured 15-Day
Randy Vásquez (P)Injured 15-Day
CIN
Blake Dunn (CF)Injured 10-Day
Matt McLain (2B)Injured 10-Day
Nick Lodolo (P)Injured 15-Day
Tony Santillan (P)Injured 15-Day
Brandon Williamson (P)Injured 60-Day
Graham Ashcraft (P)Injured 60-Day
Follow it live in the Game Center
Live win probability, pitch-by-pitch, and the model updating in real time.