MLB Preview · August 31, 2026
New York Mets at Tampa Bay Rays: Prediction, Odds & Preview
NYM 41-57at TB 56-40·Tropicana Field·
DiamondIQ Model — Win Probability
NYM39%61%TB
The model leans TB (61%). DiamondIQ model v2: season records, home-field advantage, the starting-pitcher quality gap (PitchIQ), and a calibration adjustment fit and validated on four seasons of backtest — plus live game state once underway.
Forecast at First Pitch
☀️86°FClear
Wind 16 mph SSW · out to CF
Precip 39%
Injured List
NYM
Mark Vientos (1B)Injured 10-Day
Austin Warren (P)Injured 15-Day
Clay Holmes (P)Injured 60-Day
Dedniel Núñez (P)Injured 60-Day
Justin Hagenman (P)Injured 60-Day
Luis Robert Jr. (CF)Injured 60-Day
TB
Jake Fraley (RF)Injured 10-Day
Jesse Scholtens (P)Injured 15-Day
Steven Matz (P)Injured 15-Day
Edwin Uceta (P)Injured 60-Day
Gavin Lux (LF)Injured 60-Day
Jonathan Heasley (P)Injured 60-Day
Follow it live in the Game Center
Live win probability, pitch-by-pitch, and the model updating in real time.