MLB Preview · August 28, 2026
Houston Astros at New York Mets: Prediction, Odds & Preview
HOU 47-52at NYM 41-57·Citi Field·
DiamondIQ Model — Win Probability
HOU50.4%49.6%NYM
The model leans HOU (50.4%). DiamondIQ model v2: season records, home-field advantage, the starting-pitcher quality gap (PitchIQ), and a calibration adjustment fit and validated on four seasons of backtest — plus live game state once underway.
Forecast at First Pitch
☁️78°FOvercast
Wind 11 mph SSE · out to CF
Precip 1%
Injured List
HOU
Brice Matthews (CF)Injured 10-Day
Mike Burrows (P)Injured 15-Day
Bennett Sousa (P)Injured 60-Day
Brandon Walter (P)Injured 60-Day
Carlos Correa (SS)Injured 60-Day
Hayden Wesneski (P)Injured 60-Day
NYM
Mark Vientos (1B)Injured 10-Day
Austin Warren (P)Injured 15-Day
Clay Holmes (P)Injured 60-Day
Dedniel Núñez (P)Injured 60-Day
Justin Hagenman (P)Injured 60-Day
Luis Robert Jr. (CF)Injured 60-Day
Follow it live in the Game Center
Live win probability, pitch-by-pitch, and the model updating in real time.