MLB Preview · August 21, 2026
Tampa Bay Rays at Baltimore Orioles: Prediction, Odds & Preview
TB 56-40at BAL 47-51·Oriole Park at Camden Yards·
DiamondIQ Model — Win Probability
TB52.9%47.1%BAL
The model leans TB (52.9%). DiamondIQ model v2: season records, home-field advantage, the starting-pitcher quality gap (PitchIQ), and a calibration adjustment fit and validated on four seasons of backtest — plus live game state once underway.
Forecast at First Pitch
☁️84°FOvercast
Wind 8 mph ESE · R→L
Precip 7%
Injured List
TB
Jake Fraley (RF)Injured 10-Day
Jesse Scholtens (P)Injured 15-Day
Steven Matz (P)Injured 15-Day
Edwin Uceta (P)Injured 60-Day
Gavin Lux (LF)Injured 60-Day
Jonathan Heasley (P)Injured 60-Day
BAL
Blaze Alexander (3B)Injured 10-Day
Ryan Helsley (P)Injured 15-Day
Chris Bassitt (P)Injured 60-Day
Colin Selby (P)Injured 60-Day
Félix Bautista (P)Injured 60-Day
Jordan Westburg (3B)Injured 60-Day
Follow it live in the Game Center
Live win probability, pitch-by-pitch, and the model updating in real time.