MLB Preview · August 21, 2026

Toronto Blue Jays at New York Yankees: Prediction, Odds & Preview

TOR 45-52at NYY 54-43·Yankee Stadium·

DiamondIQ Model — Win Probability

TOR42.7%57.3%NYY

The model leans NYY (57.3%). DiamondIQ model v2: season records, home-field advantage, the starting-pitcher quality gap (PitchIQ), and a calibration adjustment fit and validated on four seasons of backtest — plus live game state once underway.

Forecast at First Pitch

☀️80°FClear
Wind 12 mph SSE · R→L
Precip 0%

Injured List

TOR
Addison Barger (RF)Injured 10-Day
Jesús Sánchez (RF)Injured 10-Day
Lenyn Sosa (2B)Injured 10-Day
Max Scherzer (P)Injured 15-Day
Anthony Santander (RF)Injured 60-Day
Bowden Francis (P)Injured 60-Day
NYY
Aaron Judge (RF)Injured 10-Day
Giancarlo Stanton (DH)Injured 10-Day
Carlos Rodón (P)Injured 15-Day
Max Fried (P)Injured 15-Day
Clarke Schmidt (P)Injured 60-Day
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Live win probability, pitch-by-pitch, and the model updating in real time.
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