MLB Preview · May 24, 2026
St. Louis Cardinals at Cincinnati Reds: Prediction, Odds & Preview
STL 50-45at CIN 43-52·Great American Ball Park·
DiamondIQ Model — Win Probability
STL51.5%48.5%CIN
The model leans STL (51.5%). DiamondIQ model v2: season records, home-field advantage, the starting-pitcher quality gap (PitchIQ), and a calibration adjustment fit and validated on four seasons of backtest — plus live game state once underway.
Probable Pitchers
STL
ERA
6.00
WHIP
2.00
K%
14.3
BB%
14.3
K/9
6.00
IP
3.0
Arsenal
Four-Seam 46% · 93mphCurveball 22% · 79mphSinker 17% · 93mphSlider 15% · 85mph
CIN
ERA
4.67
WHIP
1.46
K%
19.0
BB%
7.7
K/9
7.64
IP
90.2
Arsenal
Sinker 48% · 91mphSlider 30% · 83mphSweeper 12% · 82mphCutter 7% · 87mphFour-Seam 3% · 91mph
Forecast at First Pitch
☁️87°FOvercast
Wind 5 mph NNW · out to CF
Precip 2%
Injured List
STL
CIN
Blake Dunn (CF)Injured 10-Day
Matt McLain (2B)Injured 10-Day
Nick Lodolo (P)Injured 15-Day
Tony Santillan (P)Injured 15-Day
Brandon Williamson (P)Injured 60-Day
Graham Ashcraft (P)Injured 60-Day
Follow it live in the Game Center
Live win probability, pitch-by-pitch, and the model updating in real time.